Donald Trump will become US president on January 20, 2017 and while his campaign was full of headline grabbing pledges, he did not comprehensively outline his domestic and foreign policies. As a result, there is considerable uncertainty about which policies he will pursue in office, and how aggressively he will do so. Here are the six things to watch according to Control Risks:-
1 Trade disputes: Trump’s suggested tariffs and his view on existing and future trade agreements might have a strong negative impact on both the US and global economies
2 Iran nuclear deal: Trump has strongly criticised the deal. A breakdown of the deal would aggravate regional and sectarian tensions.
3 US alliances: Trump embraced a nationalist, isolationist, and transactional foreign policy. This position will create further space for rising powers.
4 Syria, Iraq, and Islamic State (IS): Trump will inherit and continue to prosecute offensives against IS strongholds.
5 Energy an climate change: Trump could undo most of the Obama administration’s environmental regulation through executive authority.
6 Russia: Trump was relatively friendly to Russia during the campaign and could broker a rapprochement for example by cooperation against IS in Syria.